Thursday, September 22, 2011

Get Ready To Enter Market !


It's time to identify some good stock to accumulate whenever the market adjust downward. Get ready your cash and apply SIM 1-2-3 investment approach. I have identified 5 stocks with following assumptions:

1. Adjusted EPS (-10%) based on bleak economic outlook for coming months.
2. Stocks with solid earning capacity and ability to pay consistent dividend.
3. Execute the investment plan with suggested entry points (total 3 entry points).


Suggested Malaysia stock with -10% adjusted EPS :-

Stock
Industry
EPS
Adj EPS
DPS
Payout Ratio
Current Price
DY
-10%
23-9-2011
AEONCR
Consumer
0.7086
0.638
0.32
50%
4.70
6.78%
NCB
Logistic
0.234
0.211
0.21
100%
3.70
5.69%
TDM
Plantation
0.528
0.475
0.19
40%
2.82
6.74%
KFIMA
Plantation
0.328
0.295
0.09
30%
1.57
5.64%
AFFIN
Banking
0.322
0.289
0.09
31%
2.36
3.82%


Valuation and Suggested Entry Points :-


Stock
PER
FAIR PER
FAIR VALUE
ENTRY LEVEL
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
AEONCR
7.37
8.00
5.10
4.15
3.83
3.51
NCB
17.57
12.00
2.53
3.37
3.16
2.95
TDM
5.93
7.00
3.33
2.61
2.38
2.14
KFIMA
5.32
7.00
2.07
1.48
1.33
1.18
AFFIN
8.15
10.00
2.89
2.17
1.88
1.59


Counters To Put Under Your Watch List:-

1. AEONCR
-Consumer based and owned by Japanese
- expected EPS of at least 70 cts and dividend of 30 cts-40 cts .
-Price = RM4.70
- Accumulate when share price below RM4.50

2. NCB
- Port operator and owned by Permodalan Nasional Berhad (government linked)
- Consistent dividend payout. 25 cts-30 cte per annum
- Net gearing.
- Accumulate when share price drop below RM 3.50

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